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Cake day: June 30th, 2025

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  • I’m sure that silicon valley executives visualise a future where they own the machines that produce all intellectual property and do most jobs. They see a return to feudalism where they are the lords.

    I think this greater vision is about as likely to be realised as it is that Elon Musk will invent full self driving, or robots that aren’t obviously remotely operated, or a tesla roadster, or a battery powered articulated lorry with thermo nuclear explosion proof glass, or building a rocket to get the US back to the moon before the Chinese in what is clearly a new space race/pissing match. Or a hyperloop, or ever getting anywhere near to building a colony on Mars, or, or, or.

    But I don’t think it is just a case of AGI or bust. LLM’s augmented with ai agents have a very real potential to replace a capitalism-destabilising percentage of white collar jobs without AGI.

    Just like the dot com bubble popping didn’t kill the web, I do think it is unlikely that any possible current AI bubble popping will kill capital’s push to automate jobs away.

    (And as far as I can see the AI bubble is the result of massive capital expenditure rather than rampant speculation, so because I am pretty confident in the ‘value’ to capital of LLM’s + AI Agent’s, I don’t really see it as the same kind of a bubble as the dotcom bubble.)





  • Well they wouldn’t be banned from competing, just competing against girls.

    Look the unfortunate truth is that a child that has been through male puberty has a huge strength advantage.

    Take the politics or culture warfare out of it and just look at it from a sports perspective. Broadly speaking, the women that complain about trans athletes in women’s competition due to an inherent sporting advantage have a valid point.

    If sporting bodies/scientists etc can find ways of managing the situation so it is proven to be fair then great (the paralympics have various categories for instance, off the top of my head why can’t other sports?), but until then this insistence upon something that in many instances isn’t fair in a sporting sense creates a wedge issue right wing types can and do exploit because the average sports fan (who also happens to be the average person in the street) knows it isn’t fair in terms of sporting competition.

    Yes I expect to get downvoted/attacked. I think social media and mass news media has created the same entrenched defensive rigid thinking in people on both the left and right. How they think rather than what they think. I recognised it in myself and have really tried to get passed it.